Some of the biggest news of the auto glass industry this past month is the combined short supply of some replacement parts and the subsequent overall price increases that have been announced by both manufacturers and distributors. What we are seeing, or so we are told, is the application of the most basic economic law of supply and demand. The less there is of something, the higher the price it commands.
We have to look eastward to first find reasons. The two largest Chinese glass manufacturers, FYG and XYG, have diverted their attention to filling OEM contracts and also addressing their booming and presumably more profitable local replacement markets rather than focusing on the international one. They have reached their production limits, which delays manufacturing times and fill rates for new orders. After suffering through a glass glut the past few years, most likely of their own making, these companies are unlikely to increase capacity. With so many worldwide accounts competing for product, it does not take an MBA to question the economic decision to raise prices instead. Xinyi’s decision to increase pricing also may be influenced a wee bit due to the outcome and the amount of judgment they are currently liable for in the lawsuit they lost to Saint-Gobain.
One could hear the squeals of dismay from retailers as these hikes have been announced since it will be only a matter of time until distributors are passing on their higher acquisition costs.
I am reminded of the urban maxim of addiction whereby a drug pusher oftentimes lures new clients with free or low-cost introductory products to get them dependent and, once addicted, raises prices. It is no different than what this industry has experienced with replacement glass parts.
As Isaac Newton’s second law of physics states, “For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.” That scientific law may very well become applicable to our American manufacturers as these wholesale prices rise. Once a robust and profitable sector, American producers nearly have become extinct by trying to contend with the flood of cheap imports along with the drop or loss of domestic auto production. Hopefully brands such as Carlite and Guardian may become more price-competitive as these Chinese imports trim supply and raise prices.
The wreckage of the domestic manufacturing sector can be directly attributable to the realities of the flat world economies. Low labor costs plus less regulation, particularly in the environmental and worker safety areas, have made Asian countries a far more attractive place to operate facilities than here in this country. As prices increase, I wonder if the American producers can find respite, even growth as the wide gap in acquisition costs narrow.
It is my humble opinion that as companies have closed and jobs have faded from the American and Canadian scene as imports have flooded our market, overall parts quality has dropped as well. Retailers have for the most part have been accessories to this crime against consumers. We have demanded and come to expect low wholesale prices while continuing to look the other way or just meekly accept the numerous quality issues that are rampant in the aftermarket AGR sector. Last week I had the distinct displeasure of trying to remove a previously replaced FW2267. The laminate apparently was so thin and inferior that the entire windshield began to fold inward as I cut around the perimeter. As a last resort, I was very surprised that I was able to tear—not cut—away much of the glass from its heavily urethaned bottom. I had no intention of doing this, especially due to the mess it caused. The glass was not that badly damaged in the first place to warrant such an action to occur and being able to tear, not cut, the laminate seemed to verify to me that this Chinese-made import if tested could not or should not have passed our existing minimal DOT standards.
It might sound like sheer heresy to write that I would welcome a price increase if it meant a corresponding rise in quality. However, given the direction of this industry, we have a better chance of seeing pigs fly than experiencing an overall improvement of our primary product. What is wrong in demanding better fitting glass? Why has it become a “buyer beware” situation for the consumer rather than having a reasonable expectation of quality? The sad fact is that many of the retailers and their installers are the most aware of the inferior products being foisted on the public.
Wholesale distributors have been at the ground-zero canaries of our industry. The margins they operate on are razor-thin and the demands and expectations that are heaped upon them by retailers usually are unreasonable and give them very little wiggle room. Fifteen years ago, glass sources were limited and there was a certain order and structure under which wholesalers operated. None of that exists today in the current Wild West mentality that is all too prevalent. Auto glass is imported from every corner of this planet, which earlier caused a huge supply glut. The number of independent distributors has grown as has the need for customers.
Today, most sell product to anyone possessing a re-sale license at the same factor a long time customer receives. In many cases, volume and perhaps immediate cash are the only determining components of wholesale prices. They are most to blame for the “easy entry” explosion of unqualified installation concerns that have sprouted up in every burg of this country. Yet, how can anyone hold them responsible for being the arbiters of technical quality of this industry? It is simply not their job.
I’ve talked to two of my distributors this week. With my large independent one, I asked if they could carry more OEE brands such as AP Tech, Carlex and Pilkington. The reply I got was that his customer base wanted cheap and that meant Chinese. The inference was: why tie up warehouse space to please a minority number of customers?
My second vendor has raised prices in a most unusual manner. In the case of the 100 top movers, it appears that their publicized percentage increase was within that parameter. However, if I wanted to purchase a part that perhaps was not on that list, I found them totally uncompetitive, sometimes double or even triple the price of their competition. For the declining quality of the parts they manufacture and distribute, they sure seem to be on a path that only their bean-counting amateur managers feel they can afford. In my case, I have lost significant confidence in the quality of the product they build and distribute.
However, the newest twist that small independents face will be the upcoming shortage and unavailability of certain glass parts. First, it is the opening salvo within our industry that the United States is slipping in size and importance as a market. The domestic AGR market in China will continue to explode as their economy matures and more natives acquire cars to drive. Fill ratios of glass orders from American aftermarket customers will slide downward as Asian manufacturers work to capacity and feel little need to expand as the shadow of a world recession still lingers.
Is greed good? Greed has caused too many of us to throw our domestic glass industry under the bus so that we can buy inexpensive product for resale. What has that accomplished? A dependency on cheap foreign produced replacement parts that we will regret. The shortages and price hikes are the first signs of who actually is in control of our market. One may think of themselves as independents, but as far as what we materially install, we are hardly that.
This opinion piece is not meant to be a diatribe specifically against the Chinese auto glass manufacturers. Their attitude has always been: make it cheap, sell it cheaper than the competition. We as businessmen have become mesmerized by that concept and foolishly have accepted substandard product in return. Also, there should also be a hue and cry against those American firms who basically have set up overseas alliances or have chosen to cut costs with a corresponding loss in quality. It is like they have chosen to jump in the mud to wrestle pigs. It is a short-sighted approach that results in the pig winning and there is little visual distinction between the two combatants.
However, there is always hope that ol’ Porky will sprout wings and perform a few barrel rolls within my sight.